Minnesota Gas Prices Climb: What To Expect This Summer

Gasoline prices were already heading up across much of Minnesota, but just how much higher can we expect them to rise, and will we be in for much more pain at the gas pumps here in the Land of 10,000 Lakes?

Living here in Minnesota, we're used to seeing gasoline prices increase at certain times of the year, right? Every spring, as refiners switch over from the winter blend to the more expensive summer blend, prices tend to increase. The National Association of Convenience Stores notes that these seasonal spring increases usually spike around Memorial Day.

However, this year, due to various factors, including the ongoing unrest in the Middle East between Israel and Iran, gas prices have continued to climb even after Memorial Day here in Minnesota. In fact, AAA Minnesota notes that the statewide average on Monday, June 23, 2025, is now $3.10 a gallon, an increase of over 17 cents a gallon from a week ago.

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Some areas in Minnesota have seen gas prices rise above the statewide average. In Rochester, Minnesota's third-largest city, prices have climbed well over the statewide average and are now sitting at between $3.14 and $3.18 a gallon at many stations.

A Sinclair station in Rochester, MN, on June 23, 2005. (Curt St John/Townsquare Media)

But now, after U.S. air strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities over the weekend, will prices spike even more in the North Star State? Well, there's good news and bad news. According to industry expert, GasBuddy's Patrick De Haan, while we *will* likely continue to see prices slowly increase, there likely *won't* be a huge spike initially.

In a post on his X (formerly Twitter) page from Sunday, De Haan noted that while you might have seen various reports forecasting a massive increase in gas prices, that's not likely to happen. De Haan said:

I am expecting the national average price of gasoline to rise an additional 10-30 cents a galon in the days ahead as of now.

Additionally, in a video De Haan posted on Monday morning (6/23/25), he reiterated that a slow, steady increase in gas prices is what is likely to happen to most states in the country, including Minnesota. While he did say there was the possibility of localized price cycling or spikes (for instance, gas prices are up over 28 cents a gallon from last week in parts of Wisconsin), most places will see a slow, steady increase.

Minnesota has seen some extreme prices at the pump over the past few years. During the early days of the pandemic in 2020, when everything shut down-- both here in Minnesota and across the globe-- demand for crude oil fell. And so did gas prices here in the Bold North, which hit a low for that year in mid-April 2020 of around $1.65 a gallon.

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Then, on the other end of the spectrum, fueled by Russia's war with Ukraine, inflation, and other factors, gas prices skyrocketed just a few years later, hitting a record high of $4.75 a gallon in the North State on June 15th, 2022.

Speaking of gas prices, do you remember how cheap they were when you first started driving? (What did we do with all that extra money back then?!?) Keep scrolling to take a walk down memory lane and check out the price we paid when you first got your driver's license!